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IDEA FUTURES

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"Imagine a betting pool or market on most disputed science questions, with the going odds available to the popular media, and treated socially as the current academic consensus. Imagine that academics are expected to ëput up or shut up' and accompany claims with at least token bets, and that statistics are collected on how well people do. Imagine that... research labs pay for much of their research with winnings from previous pools. And imagine that anyone could play, either to take a stand on an important issue, or to insure against technological risk... This would be an ëidea futures' market." (Robin Hanson) We love it. Put your (fake) money where your mouth is.


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